Daily market data update — BTC $77,945 (-1.16% 24h)

Macro

• Barclays sees two more Fed rate hikes this year after Warsh speech - Reuters
• Warsh Sounds Hawkish, but Will There Be a September Rate Hike in the US? - Morningstar
• Global Oil Prices Jump After U.S. and Iran Trade Attacks - The New York Times
• Oil prices surge higher as US and Iran exchange fire for first time in a month - Yahoo Finance

Crypto

• BTC: $77,945 (-1.16% 24h)
• ETH: $2,442.86 (-1.30%)
• SOL: $102.50 (-4.22%)
• Fear & Greed: 74 (Greed)

Indian Indices

• Sensex: 76,957.27 (-0.40%)
• Nifty 50: 24,080.40 (-0.39%)
• Bank Nifty: 58,024.95 (+0.92%)

US Equities

• S&P 500: 7,674.08 (-0.49%)
• Nasdaq: 26,271.43 (-0.50%)
• Dow: 53,205.69 (-0.66%)

Commodities

• Gold: $4,470 (-0.18%)
• Brent crude: $88.42 (-1.00%)
• PAXG: $4,424 (-0.99%)
• DXY reference: 99.55

BTC Technical Snapshot

• RSI14: 71.1
• Price is above the 50-day EMA ($68,957)
• Price is above the 200-day EMA ($73,268)
• 30-day range: $62,763 – $80,258

For your session

NEUTRAL — mechanical execution favored

Bias: NEUTRAL — mechanical execution favored. Historically a weaker setup off-session and on PAXG specifically — worth the extra discipline today.