Daily market data update — BTC $78,105 (-0.27% 24h)

Macro

• The Long and the Short of It: The Term Structure of Interest Rates - The American Action Forum
• WATCH: Trump says Fed Chair Warsh will 'do what he has to do' on possible rate hikes - pbs.org
• Oil prices rise and stocks slide as Middle East violence flares, adding to uncertainty - ABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos
• Oil Rises on Renewed U.S.-Iran Hostilities - WSJ

Crypto

• BTC: $78,105 (-0.27% 24h)
• ETH: $2,460.20 (+0.61%)
• SOL: $102.33 (-1.06%)
• Fear & Greed: 74 (Greed)

Indian Indices

• Sensex: 76,944.28 (-0.02%)
• Nifty 50: 24,055.80 (-0.10%)
• Bank Nifty: 57,409.60 (-1.06%)

US Equities

• S&P 500: 7,686.14 (-0.58%)
• Nasdaq: 26,370.89 (-0.64%)
• Dow: 53,185.90 (-0.72%)

Commodities

• Gold: $4,432 (+0.03%)
• Brent crude: $91.78 (+1.43%)
• PAXG: $4,391 (-1.38%)
• DXY reference: 99.55

BTC Technical Snapshot

• RSI14: 68.9
• Price is above the 50-day EMA ($70,005)
• Price is above the 200-day EMA ($73,423)
• 30-day range: $62,819 – $80,258

For your session

NEUTRAL — mechanical execution favored

Bias: NEUTRAL — mechanical execution favored. Historically a weaker setup off-session and on PAXG specifically — worth the extra discipline today.