Daily market data update — BTC $78,017 (-1.30% 24h)

Macro

• A Tiny Shift in the Inflation Rate Could Decide the Fed’s Next Move - WSJ
• Fed's interest rate decision may come down to hair-splitting inflation data - Axios
• Oil surges above $100 a barrel as US and Iran launch new attacks, while gasoline prices also jump - AP News
• Oil Hits $100 a Barrel as Turmoil Intensifies in Middle East - The New York Times

Crypto

• BTC: $78,017 (-1.30% 24h)
• ETH: $2,468.04 (-1.00%)
• SOL: $101.41 (-2.24%)
• Fear & Greed: 70 (Greed)

Indian Indices

• Sensex: 74,902.59 (+0.19%)
• Nifty 50: 23,477.80 (+0.20%)
• Bank Nifty: 56,471.95 (+0.31%)

US Equities

• S&P 500: 7,636.36 (-0.48%)
• Nasdaq: 26,253.34 (-0.64%)
• Dow: 52,380.66 (-0.77%)

Commodities

• Gold: $4,430 (+0.33%)
• Brent crude: $102.13 (+0.91%)
• PAXG: $4,387 (-0.46%)
• DXY reference: 98.61

BTC Technical Snapshot

• RSI14: 58.2
• Price is above the 50-day EMA ($72,731)
• Price is above the 200-day EMA ($73,944)
• 30-day range: $62,819 – $81,272

For your session

NEUTRAL — mechanical execution favored

Bias: NEUTRAL — mechanical execution favored. Historically a weaker setup off-session and on PAXG specifically — worth the extra discipline today.