Daily market data update — BTC $76,876 (-1.05% 24h)

Macro

• The Fed may be on the verge of a serious mistake, prominent economists warn - MarketWatch
• Federal Reserve is expected to raise its benchmark rate, defying Trump’s demands - AP News
• Oil’s next test: Saudi Arabia races to restore a key safety valve for prices - CNBC
• Oil Prices Rise as Middle East Supply Concerns Persist - WSJ

Crypto

• BTC: $76,876 (-1.05% 24h)
• ETH: $2,474.58 (-1.30%)
• SOL: $100.70 (-0.63%)
• Fear & Greed: 66 (Greed)

Indian Indices

• Sensex: 74,003.82 (-1.04%)
• Nifty 50: 23,118.60 (-1.19%)
• Bank Nifty: 55,794.75 (-1.43%)

US Equities

• S&P 500: 7,619.98 (-0.48%)
• Nasdaq: 26,186.41 (-0.56%)
• Dow: 52,421.20 (-0.29%)

Commodities

• Gold: $4,325 (-0.62%)
• Brent crude: $101.10 (-4.33%)
• PAXG: $4,286 (-0.22%)
• DXY reference: 99.48

BTC Technical Snapshot

• RSI14: 52.7
• Price is above the 50-day EMA ($73,510)
• Price is above the 200-day EMA ($74,087)
• 30-day range: $64,506 – $81,272

For your session

NEUTRAL — mechanical execution favored

Bias: NEUTRAL — mechanical execution favored. Historically a weaker setup off-session and on PAXG specifically — worth the extra discipline today.