Daily market data update — BTC $77,311 (-0.87% 24h)

Macro

• An Updated Outlook for Interest Rates in 2026 and 2027 - Oklahoma Farm Report
• AI mania can’t survive higher interest rates - Financial Times
• Oil Prices Fall More Than 4% as Iran Peace Talks Ease Supply Fears - WSJ
• Oil Prices Plunge as Draft Proposal to End U.S.-Iran War is Circulated - Crude Oil Prices Today | OilPrice.com

Crypto

• BTC: $77,311 (-0.87% 24h)
• ETH: $2,267.52 (-0.00%)
• SOL: $93.37 (-1.42%)
• Fear & Greed: 35 (Fear)

Indian Indices

• Sensex: 75,692.78 (+1.66%)
• Nifty 50: 23,440.80 (+1.68%)
• Bank Nifty: 55,002.20 (+0.58%)

US Equities

• S&P 500: 7,623.21 (+0.57%)
• Nasdaq: 25,615.12 (+0.70%)
• Dow: 52,269.26 (+0.96%)

Commodities

• Gold: $3,972 (+1.87%)
• Brent crude: $105.68 (-10.17%)
• PAXG: $3,966 (+1.85%)
• DXY reference: 101.62

BTC Technical Snapshot

• RSI14: 36.6
• Price is below the 50-day EMA ($80,183)
• Price is above the 200-day EMA ($76,336)
• 30-day range: $77,198 – $86,480

For your session

NEUTRAL — mechanical execution favored

Bias: NEUTRAL — mechanical execution favored. Historically a weaker setup off-session and on PAXG specifically — worth the extra discipline today.